Monday, August 31, 2009

Sizing up the Rays chances with a month to go

Today the Rays sit 5.5 games behind the Red Sox for the Wild Card. Take the Rays best month of the season and compare it with the Red Sox worst month

15-14 sox (win % - .517)
19-7 rays (win % - .730)

Applied to 32 games remaing for Boston, and 33 for the Rays you get

24 Rays wins and 17 Sox wins. 7 game difference.

It would be a miracle, but hey it's something. I don't see it happening though. The Red Sox are playing much better than a .500 ballclub now, and the Rays don't have enough games to catch up with that. Ultimately that slow start is what is hurting. The last couple months haven't been awful, but you can't play this way when you are playing catchup.

Also, Grant Balfour need.

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